Super Computer model rates Newcastle chances of beating Spurs and relegation probability
Interesting overview of Newcastle United for the season and Sunday’s match against Tottenham.
The super computer model predictions are based on the FiveThirtyEight revision to the Soccer Power Index, which is a rating mechanism for football teams which takes account of over half a million matches, and is based on Opta‘s play-by-play data.
They have analysed all Premier League matches this weekend, including this game against Spurs.
Their computer model gives Tottenham a 60% chance of a win, it is 23% for a draw and a 17% possibility of a Newcastle win (percentage probabilities rounded up/down to nearest whole number).
When it comes to winning the title, they have the probability as 29% of Liverpool retaining the title and Man City a 60% chance, Man Utd on 4% probability are a very distant third.
Also interesting to see how the computer model rates the percentage probability chances of relegation at this early stage:
58% West Brom
45% Fulham
30% Sheff Utd
28% Newcastle United
27% Leeds
20% West Ham
20% Burnley
19% Villa
16% Southampton
14% Brighton
10% Palace
3% Wolves
As well as a 28% chance of going down, the Super Computer model has a 1% probability of Newcastle United qualifying for the Champions League…
The post Super Computer model rates Newcastle chances of beating Spurs and relegation probability appeared first on NUFC The Mag.
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Interesting overview of Newcastle United for the season and Sunday’s match against Tottenham.
The super computer model predictions are based on the FiveThirtyEight revision to the Soccer Power Index, which is a rating mechanism for football teams which takes account of over half a million matches, and is based on Opta‘s play-by-play data.
They have analysed all Premier League matches this weekend, including this game against Spurs.
Their computer model gives Tottenham a 60% chance of a win, it is 23% for a draw and a 17% possibility of a Newcastle win (percentage probabilities rounded up/down to nearest whole number).
When it comes to winning the title, they have the probability as 29% of Liverpool retaining the title and Man City a 60% chance, Man Utd on 4% probability are a very distant third.
Also interesting to see how the computer model rates the percentage probability chances of relegation at this early stage:
58% West Brom
45% Fulham
30% Sheff Utd
28% Newcastle United
27% Leeds
20% West Ham
20% Burnley
19% Villa
16% Southampton
14% Brighton
10% Palace
3% Wolves
As well as a 28% chance of going down, the Super Computer model has a 1% probability of Newcastle United qualifying for the Champions League…
The post Super Computer model rates Newcastle chances of beating Spurs and relegation probability appeared first on NUFC The Mag.
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